{"id":141122,"date":"2023-09-11T15:57:21","date_gmt":"2023-09-11T15:57:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/celebrity-hub.com\/?p=141122"},"modified":"2023-09-11T15:57:21","modified_gmt":"2023-09-11T15:57:21","slug":"build-a-winning-football-betting-strategy-the-sun","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/celebrity-hub.com\/lifestyle\/build-a-winning-football-betting-strategy-the-sun\/","title":{"rendered":"Build a winning football betting strategy | The Sun"},"content":{"rendered":"

FOOTBALL is, without doubt, the most popular sport when it comes to betting in the UK. Millions of punters back teams and players throughout the season. With the Premier League and many other major competitions having recently started once again, it has never been a better time to wager on the beautiful game. <\/strong><\/p>\n

If you are looking to make the most of the football markets, promotions and features available online today, this guide is for you. This football betting strategy will look at some of the systems to consider. We will also discuss available markets and how to find the best odds.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Why build a football betting strategy?<\/h2>\n

The most successful bettors all have some kind of strategy. Whether you are a beginner or something of a seasoned pro, it is important to have a system in place. Those who fail to do so and use a scatter-gun approach will likely lose money in the long term. While you may alter your strategy from time to time, based on your level of success, we recommend building your own strategy before getting started.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Is there a \u201csafest bet\u201d in football betting?<\/h2>\n

Unfortunately, there is no bet that guarantees success when it comes to football. The competitive nature of the sport, especially the Premier League, means that even the top teams are never guaranteed to win. However, beginners often stick to simple 1×2 markets.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Here, you are betting on the outcome of an individual match, whether it be home win, draw or away win. However, you may find that the odds here are not so appealing. This is why many turn to over\/under goals, anytime goalscorer or handicap markets.<\/p>\n

Check out our recommendation for the safest betting sites in the UK.<\/p>\n

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\u26bd What are the most popular football betting strategies?<\/h2>\n

We will now outline some of the most popular and best-known strategies that can be used when betting on football. Consider the pros and cons of each before utilising one:\u00a0<\/p>\n

Matched betting<\/h3>\n

This strategy uses the free bets and promotions offered by many online bookmakers today. You must place two bets that cover all potential outcomes. Using back and lay bets, there is no risk involved. For example, let\u2019s say that you are betting on a Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa. You would place a back bet on Arsenal to win.\u00a0<\/p>\n

As well as this, you must place a lay bet on Villa. As such, you will receive winnings whatever the final result is. However, this strategy requires significant research and patience, and the returns are not always large.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

Kelly Criterion<\/h3>\n

The Kelly Criterion strategy helps punters decide how much they stake on a football bet. This system will recommend that bets should only be placed if there is a difference between the bookie\u2019s odds and your estimated odds. While it takes time to get your head around, Kelly Criterion is actually relatively simple.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s look at an example using a Champions League match between Real Madrid and Inter Milan. Using percentages, you believe Madrid has a 65% chance of winning. However, the odds from your bookie imply that Madrid has a 55% chance of winning. You will then use the equation – f* = [(b x p) \u2013 q] \u00f7 (b). Based on this, the strategy suggests betting 22.31% of your budget.\u00a0<\/p>\n

b <\/strong>= 1.82 \u2013 1 = 0.82<\/p>\n

p <\/strong>= 0.65<\/p>\n

q <\/strong>= 0.35<\/p>\n

f*<\/strong>= [(b x p) \u2013 q] \u00f7 (b) = [(0.82 \u00d7 0.65) \u2013 0.35] \u00f7 0.82 = 0.2231<\/p>\n

Arbitrage betting<\/h3>\n

With arbitrage betting, you wager on all potential outcomes of a match, with different bookies. However, you must be prepared to be patient in order to find value. You are looking for a market where the odds on offer are not in line with the probability. Find the highest possible odds for each outcome, before calculating how much you need to stake on each.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Are there any football betting strategies that don\u2019t work?<\/h2>\n

Now that you have an idea of the strategies that are popular for football fans, it is important to look at the systems that are not suited to this form of gambling.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Fibonacci method<\/h3>\n

With this strategy, you will increase your stake after each unsuccessful bet. The thinking is that when you do make an accurate prediction, you will recuperate your losses, while also earning a small profit. However, this is not suited to beginners, as well as those betting on football.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Martingale method<\/h3>\n

With the Martingale method, you will double your stake after each loss. Based on logic, this strategy will bring about a profit when you place a winning bet. However, you could well lose many times before you win, which makes it more difficult to gamble responsibly.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\ud83c\udfdf\ufe0f Is there a special football betting strategy for live betting?<\/h2>\n

Most strategies work the same way once matches are underway. With online bookies today, it is possible to bet on football games that have already kicked off. Odds are constantly changing, based on goals scored, red cards given and other factors. However, you will need to be much quicker with your calculations. This is because the price may well have changed since you first considered the market.\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/p>\n

\ud83d\udcb0 Which football bet has the biggest payout potential with UK bookies?<\/h2>\n

Many punters place accumulator bets in the hope of winning big. Also known as an acca, this is a single bet that features multiple selections. Each pick must win in order for your bet to be successful. The odds will increase with each selection added. As such, you can potentially earn significant payouts when wagering on multiple teams\/players.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, many have achieved success by placing long-term outright bets on football. For example, Leicester City\u2019s Premier League title win in 2016, when they were 5,000\/1 outsiders at the start of the season.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\ud83d\udccb What to focus on when researching your football betting strategy<\/h2>\n

Before confirming any football betting strategy, there are a number of factors that you should consider. The following are among the points to focus on:\u00a0<\/p>\n