Dr Hilary warns of time lag between new coronavirus cases and increased deaths
7th September 2020

Dr Hilary Jones has warned there could be a time lag between the new coronavirus cases and an increasing death rate.

Just yesterday, the Health Secretary Matt Hancock expressed his concern after 2,988 people tested positive for Covid-19 in just 24 hours.

This was the highest spike in new cases since May 22, however, the death rate remained low, with two more recorded across England.

And now, Dr Hilary has explained why there could be less deaths while warning the government not to be complacent.

‘There’s a number of possible causes for this,’ he stated on Good Morning Britain today. ‘Firstly we have seen more cases in younger people under the age of 44 and it’s possible they have stronger immune systems.

‘With social distancing people are getting a lower viral load, so less exposure to the virus (but nevertheless exposure), but that is allowing their immune systems to cope with it better.’

The GP added: ‘Another explanation is the virus has mutated into a different form. This is very unlikely and there is certainly no evidence of it yet.

‘There’s one other explanation which is interesting, but with the more widespread laboratories carrying out these tests, there is no precise standardisation of the test.’

He pressed: ‘The test involves amplification of virus particles and samples and all you have to cycle that amplification process the more likely you are of picking up tiny fragments of the virus, which means the person will test positive but isn’t infectious to other people and that could explain the low death rate at the moment.’

The expert then went on to support Mr Hancock’s worries, and continued: ‘However, there is certainly no room for complacency and Matt Hancock is right to be concerned.

‘There could be a time lag between the cases we have seen now and the death rate going up in the future, and that’s what no one wants.’

It comes after the MP said he was ‘concerned’ about the rise in cases which are ‘predominantly among young people’.

‘It’s so important that everybody does their bit and follows the social distancing because it doesn’t matter how old you are, how affected you might be by this disease, you can pass the disease on to others,’ he stressed in an interview with Sky News.

‘So don’t pass the disease on to your grandparents if you’re a young person, everybody needs to follow the social distancing.’

Good Morning Britain continues weekdays at 6am on ITV.

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